See the full list of 2023 Oscar nominations here, as well as Best Picture nominees for the Academy Awards.
For the first time in forever, multiple blockbusters are actually contenders to win the Best Picture Oscar. But first they have to be nominated.
The dark comedy “The Banshees of Inisherin” and Steven Spielberg’s autobiographical coming-of-age drama “The Fabelmans” scored big at the Golden Globes, while the sci-fi hit “Everything Everywhere All at Once” won the Screen Actors Guild along with “Banshees.” ” However, when the field for the 95th Academy Awards (airing March 12 on ABC) is announced Tuesday morning, “Top Gun” and “Black Panther” sequels emerge as heavyweight contenders that could add spice to an awards season that is somewhat back to normal after a few pandemic-stricken years.
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While everything may be falling into place for likely nominees, it’s usually only when chaos is around the corner. Let’s separate the potential contenders from the frontrunners into the six major Oscar categories:
- Blockbusters will vie for prime spots in the best picture field.
- It’s a two-person race in the Best Actress category and a talented trio for Best Actor.
- Supporting stars Angela Bassett and Ke Huy Quan are the easiest bets of all.
The best: The producers and the directors usually know what’s going on before the rest of us – the vast majority of their nominees make the Oscar cut. So expect the shoo-ins to be “Fabelmans,” “Banshees,” “Everything Everywhere,” “Top Gun: Maverick” and “Tár,” all of which received Producers Guild of America and Directors Guild of America nods. “Elvis,” with Globe, PGA and British Academy Film Awards nominations under its belt, also has a good shot, as does “Babylon,” which boasts Globe and Screen Actors Guild ensemble honors.
The rest: High-profile PGA nominees “Avatar: The Way of Water,” “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” and “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” look more primed to take the final three spots than the polarizing “The Whale” Don’t the love for Brendan Fraser doesn’t count. Other possibilities include popular Indian action epic “RRR”, BAFTA leader “All Quiet on the Western Front” and SAG nominee “Women Talking” – all of whom could be looking for a slot as “Babylon” (with its mixed reviews) or “Top Gun” falters.
The best: It looks like a three-dude race between Golden Globe winners Austin Butler (“Elvis”) and Colin Farrell (“Banshees”) plus “Whale” star Fraser, who gained extra awards-season momentum with his heartfelt speech after winning the Won Critics Choice Award. It’s safe to say those guys are locks, especially with Screen Actors Guild and BAFTA nominations.
The rest: The past two Oscar cycles have seen the SAG and Oscar Best Actor contingents match up exactly, which is a boon for SAG nominees Bill Nighy (“Living”) — who also got a BAFTA nod — and Adam Sandler (“Hustle”). Sandler still doesn’t have an Oscar nomination, so the Academy could consider this a career attaboy. But if they don’t, newcomers like BAFTA-nominated Paul Mescal (“Aftersun”) and two Globe contenders, Diego Calva (“Babilon”) and Jeremy Pope (“The Inspection”) await. ). Then there’s Tom Cruise, the face of “Top Gun” who probably has some voters rooting for him.
The best: Cate Blanchett (“Tár”) and Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere”) have torn their way through awards season with Globe wins and SAG nominations, and that inevitable showdown is happening at the Oscars because, barring a multi-faceted accident , they are in.
The rest: The other three spots are less clear. Oscar winner Viola Davis (“The Woman King”) has compiled a nice resume, with SAG, Globe and BAFTA nods, and fellow SAG nominees Danielle Deadwyler (“Till”) and Ana de Armas (“Blonde “) is also in the mix. Michelle Williams – who probably would have done better as a supporting contender this season – has a chance thanks to “Fabelmans'” momentum. Also on the outside looking in are Globe nominees Margot Robbie (“Babylon”) and Olivia Colman (“Empire of Light”).
Best Supporting Actor
The best: No one in Hollywood these days is as beloved as “Everything Everywhere” star/Globe winner/SAG nominee Ke Huy Quan for his comeback story and overall Cinderella mojo. At least one actor usually plays the table every year and Quan is the best bet of this Oscar class. Likely to take three more spots: the “Banshees” duo of Brendan Gleeson and Barry Keoghan as well as “The Good Nurse” antagonist Eddie Redmayne, who each garnered SAG, Globe and BAFTA nominations.
The rest: For that last remaining spot — or maybe two, given that “Good Nurse” isn’t exactly a major awards player — SAG nominee Paul Dano is in contention for “Fabelmans.” His co-star Judd Hirsch is also a possibility: The longtime Emmy-winning actor has only been nominated for an Oscar once, for 1980’s “Ordinary People.” Also standing is Brian Tyree Henry (“Causeway”), who like Hirsch was nominated for Critics Choice, and BAFTA-nominated Micheal Ward (“Empire of Light”).
Best Supporting Actress
The best:Angela Bassett rules Wakanda and, so far, the run-up to this category, which seems to be the acting field that’s most in flux. The “Black Panther” star took home gold from the Globes and Critics Choice Awards, plus SAG and BAFTA nominations. Kerry Condon (“Banshees”) and Jamie Lee Curtis (“Everything Everywhere”) — still seeking her first Oscar nod in the business after decades — are also safe bets, with each receiving SAG, Globe, Critics Choice and BAFTA -nods earned.
The rest: What remains is almost a free-for-all with a bunch of talented contenders. Curtis’ co-star Stephanie Hsu earned a SAG nom for her breakout role. Hong Chau (“The Whale”) impressed the SAG and BAFTA contingents, while Dolly de Leon (“Triangle of Sadness”) and Carey Mulligan (“She Said”) have Globe and BAFTA nominations in their favor. And don’t overlook Janelle Monáe (“Glass Onion”) or Jessie Buckley (“Women Talking”), both Critics Choice-nominated standouts in award-winning ensembles.
The best: Every year, to an incredible extent, four out of five DGA nominees make it in the category. In other words, things are looking pretty groovy for Globe champ Spielberg, Critics Choice-winning duo Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (“Everything Everywhere”), Todd Field (“Tár”), Martin McDonagh (“Banshees”) and Joseph Kosinski ( “Top Gun: Maverick”).
The rest: So who is the odd man out? Probably Kosinski, as his best picture contender is the only one without any major awards so far. Sarah Polley (“Women Talking”) can take his place and avoid an all-male field after two straight wins by female filmmakers. James Cameron has a puncher’s chance thanks to his “Avatar” sequel’s box office success. Baz Luhrmann (“Elvis”) or SS Rajamouli (“RRR”) can ride the wave of popularity for their films. But perhaps a surprise dark horse emerges from the BAFTA slate, which includes Park Chan-wook (“Decided to Leave”), Edward Berger (“All Quiet on the Western Front”) and Gina Prince-Bythewood (“The Woman King”) include .
Read more about this year’s Oscar contenders
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‘The Banshees of Inisherin’ review:Colin Farrell, Brendan Gleeson bring friendly fire to dark comedy
Ke Huy Quan:‘Indiana Jones’ star waited ‘over 30 years’ for ‘Everything Everywhere’ role